Rolling mean with customized window with Pandas

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Rolling Mean with Customized Windows in Pandas

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Learn how to calculate rolling means in Pandas with flexible, customized window definitions, including non-fixed sizes and conditional logic.

Calculating rolling means (also known as moving averages) is a fundamental operation in time series analysis and data smoothing. Pandas provides powerful tools for this, primarily through its .rolling() method. While .rolling() is excellent for fixed-size windows, real-world scenarios often demand more flexibility, such as windows based on time offsets, specific conditions, or even dynamic sizes. This article explores how to achieve customized rolling mean calculations beyond the standard fixed-size window, leveraging Pandas' capabilities for advanced data analysis.

Understanding Pandas' .rolling() Method

The .rolling() method in Pandas is designed to apply a function (like mean(), sum(), std(), etc.) over a specified moving window of data. By default, this window is defined by a fixed number of observations. However, its true power emerges when you define windows based on time offsets or custom logic, especially when dealing with irregularly sampled data or when the 'window' concept is not a simple count of rows.

import pandas as pd
import numpy as np

# Create a sample DataFrame with a DatetimeIndex
dates = pd.to_datetime(['2023-01-01', '2023-01-02', '2023-01-04', '2023-01-05', '2023-01-08', '2023-01-09'])
data = [10, 12, 15, 11, 18, 20]
df = pd.DataFrame({'value': data}, index=dates)

print("Original DataFrame:")
print(df)

# Fixed 2-period rolling mean
df['rolling_mean_fixed_2'] = df['value'].rolling(window=2).mean()
print("\nFixed 2-period rolling mean:")
print(df)

Basic fixed-window rolling mean calculation

Customizing Windows with Time Offsets

One of the most common customization needs is to define a rolling window based on a time duration rather than a fixed number of rows. This is particularly useful for time series data where observations might be irregular. Pandas allows you to pass a string representing a time offset (e.g., '2D' for 2 days, '3H' for 3 hours) to the window parameter of .rolling(). When using time-based windows, the index of your DataFrame must be a DatetimeIndex.

import pandas as pd

dates = pd.to_datetime(['2023-01-01 10:00', '2023-01-01 11:00', '2023-01-01 13:00', 
                        '2023-01-02 09:00', '2023-01-02 10:00', '2023-01-02 12:00'])
data = [10, 12, 15, 11, 18, 20]
df_time = pd.DataFrame({'value': data}, index=dates)

print("Original DataFrame with irregular time index:")
print(df_time)

# Rolling mean over a 2-hour window
df_time['rolling_mean_2H'] = df_time['value'].rolling(window='2H').mean()
print("\nRolling mean with 2-hour window:")
print(df_time)

# Rolling mean over a 1-day window
df_time['rolling_mean_1D'] = df_time['value'].rolling(window='1D').mean()
print("\nRolling mean with 1-day window:")
print(df_time)

Rolling mean using time-based windows

Advanced Customization: Dynamic Windows with apply()

For scenarios where the window size or definition is highly dynamic and depends on specific conditions or calculations for each point, the .rolling() method's apply() function combined with a custom function is invaluable. This allows you to define a window based on criteria that are not directly supported by fixed-size or time-offset parameters. For example, you might want a window that includes all data points within a certain value range, or a window that dynamically changes size based on an external factor.

While .rolling().apply() can be powerful, it's important to note that it can be significantly slower than built-in rolling functions (like .mean(), .sum()) because it iterates through each window. Use it when other methods are insufficient.

import pandas as pd

df_dynamic = pd.DataFrame({
    'value': [10, 12, 15, 11, 18, 20, 22, 19, 25, 28],
    'threshold': [11, 13, 14, 12, 17, 21, 20, 18, 24, 27]
})

# Define a custom function for dynamic window calculation
# This example calculates the mean of values that are less than a dynamic threshold
def custom_rolling_mean(window_series, current_threshold):
    # window_series is the 'value' series for the current window
    # current_threshold is the threshold for the *current* row
    
    # For this example, let's assume we want to calculate the mean of values
    # in the window that are below the current row's threshold.
    # This is a simplified example; real-world dynamic windows might be more complex.
    
    # To truly implement a dynamic window where the window itself changes based on a condition
    # for each point, you'd typically need to iterate or use a more advanced approach.
    # The 'apply' method here operates on a *pre-defined* window (e.g., fixed size or time offset).
    # If the window *definition* itself is dynamic per row, you might need a loop or `expanding()`.
    
    # Let's illustrate a simpler 'conditional mean within a fixed window' first.
    # Suppose we want the mean of values in the last 3 periods that are less than the current threshold.
    # This requires passing the threshold to the apply function, which isn't directly supported by default.
    # A common workaround for truly dynamic window definitions is to iterate or use `expanding()`.
    
    # For demonstration, let's calculate the mean of the last 3 values.
    # This doesn't use the 'threshold' dynamically to define the window, but shows 'apply'.
    return window_series.mean()

# Let's reconsider the problem: a rolling mean where the window size itself is dynamic.
# This is often better handled by iterating or using `expanding()` with a filter.

# Example: Calculate a rolling mean where the window includes all previous values
# up to the current point, but only if they are below a certain threshold.
# This is not a standard 'rolling' operation but a custom aggregation.

results = []
for i in range(len(df_dynamic)):
    current_index = i
    current_threshold = df_dynamic.loc[current_index, 'threshold']
    
    # Select data points for the 'custom window' (e.g., all previous points below threshold)
    # This is a conceptual example, actual window definition will vary.
    # For a true 'rolling' window, you'd typically look back a fixed number of rows/time.
    
    # Let's define a custom window as 'all previous values that are less than the current threshold'
    # This is an 'expanding' window with a filter.
    previous_values = df_dynamic.loc[:current_index-1, 'value']
    filtered_values = previous_values[previous_values < current_threshold]
    
    if not filtered_values.empty:
        results.append(filtered_values.mean())
    else:
        results.append(np.nan) # No values in the custom window

df_dynamic['custom_dynamic_mean'] = pd.Series(results, index=df_dynamic.index)

print("\nDataFrame with custom dynamic mean (conceptual example):")
print(df_dynamic)

# A more direct use of .rolling().apply() for a fixed window with internal condition:
# Calculate the mean of values within a 3-period window that are greater than 15.
# This still uses a fixed window size (3) but applies a condition *within* that window.

def mean_greater_than_15(window):
    return window[window > 15].mean()

df_dynamic['rolling_mean_gt_15'] = df_dynamic['value'].rolling(window=3, min_periods=1).apply(mean_greater_than_15, raw=False)

print("\nDataFrame with rolling mean of values > 15 (fixed window, internal condition):")
print(df_dynamic)

Conceptual example of dynamic window calculation using iteration and apply()

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Decision flow for choosing a rolling mean strategy

Handling Missing Data and min_periods

When calculating rolling means, especially with customized windows, it's crucial to consider how missing data (NaN) and incomplete windows are handled. The min_periods parameter in .rolling() specifies the minimum number of observations in a window required to have a non-NaN result. If fewer observations are present, the result for that window will be NaN. This is particularly important at the beginning of a series or when data is sparse.

import pandas as pd

df_sparse = pd.DataFrame({
    'value': [10, 12, np.nan, 15, 11, np.nan, 18, 20]
})

print("Original DataFrame with NaN values:")
print(df_sparse)

# Rolling mean with default min_periods (equal to window size)
df_sparse['rolling_mean_default_min'] = df_sparse['value'].rolling(window=3).mean()
print("\nRolling mean (window=3, default min_periods=3):")
print(df_sparse)

# Rolling mean with min_periods=1
df_sparse['rolling_mean_min_1'] = df_sparse['value'].rolling(window=3, min_periods=1).mean()
print("\nRolling mean (window=3, min_periods=1):")
print(df_sparse)

Impact of min_periods on rolling mean calculations

Practical Steps for Custom Rolling Means

Implementing a custom rolling mean often involves a combination of Pandas' built-in functionalities and custom logic. Here's a general approach:

1. Prepare Your Data

Ensure your DataFrame has a DatetimeIndex if you plan to use time-based windows. Handle any initial missing values or outliers as appropriate for your analysis.

2. Define Your Window Logic

Clearly articulate what constitutes a 'window' for each data point. Is it a fixed number of rows, a specific time duration, or a dynamic set of observations based on conditions?

3. Choose the Right Pandas Method

For fixed-size or time-based windows, use .rolling(window=N) or .rolling(window='XU'). For more complex, point-specific window definitions, consider iterating through the DataFrame or using .expanding() with filters, or .rolling().apply() if the window size is fixed but the aggregation logic is custom.

4. Implement Custom Aggregation (if needed)

If .mean() isn't sufficient, write a custom function to pass to .apply() or implement the aggregation logic within a loop. Remember to handle edge cases like empty windows.

5. Consider min_periods and NaN Handling

Set min_periods appropriately to control when NaN values appear due to insufficient data in a window. Decide how to fill or drop these NaNs if necessary for subsequent analysis.